U.S.-China Trade Tensions: Biden’s Legacy Chip Probe and Trump’s Next Steps

The Section 301 investigation into China's semiconductor practices underscores the ongoing strategic importance of balancing trade enforcement with economic stability. For the incoming administration, this probe is both a challenge and an opportunity to bolster domestic industries, foster innovation, and navigate the complexities of U.S.-China relations with foresight and collaboration.

Understanding Section 301 Investigations
Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 empowers the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) to
investigate and respond to foreign trade practices deemed unfair or discriminatory. If violations
are found, the USTR can impose remedies, including tariffs, to protect U.S. industries and
workers. This tool has historically been a key instrument in addressing trade imbalances and
unfair practices by trading partners.
The Biden Administration’s New Trade Investigation
On December 23, 2024, the Biden administration launched a Section 301 investigation into
China’s semiconductor industry, focusing on “legacy” chips. These older generation
semiconductors are used in products ranging from automobiles to household appliances and
are critical to national security and industrial stability.
The goal of the investigation is to determine whether China’s state-subsidized expansion in the
semiconductor sector has created unfair competition for U.S. manufacturers. Public comments
will be collected starting January 6, 2025, with a hearing set for March. This effort highlights the
Biden administration’s broader push to address China’s trade practices and reduce reliance on
Chinese technology.
Economic Impacts on the Semiconductor Industry
The semiconductor industry is already under strain due to supply chain disruptions and
geopolitical tensions. This investigation could further complicate matters. If tariffs are imposed
on Chinese-made legacy chips, it might provide a competitive edge for U.S. manufacturers, but
it could also lead to higher costs for American companies relying on these components.
For consumers, the effects of increased tariffs could manifest in higher prices for everyday
electronics and appliances. Global supply chains might experience additional disruptions,
especially as China could retaliate with countermeasures. Additionally, smaller businesses
reliant on cost-effective imports may struggle to adapt, potentially slowing innovation and market
growth in the sector.
Effects on President-Elect Trump and Recommendations
President-elect Donald Trump will inherit this investigation upon taking office, offering both
opportunities and challenges. Trump, whose trade policies have historically centered on
aggressive measures against China, may use this investigation to reinforce his “America First”
platform. However, he must also navigate the delicate balance between protecting U.S.
industries and avoiding a full-blown trade war that could harm the broader economy.
To effectively respond, Trump could:

  1. Expand Domestic Manufacturing: Increase incentives for domestic semiconductor
    production through tax benefits, grants, and public-private partnerships.
  2. Strengthen International Alliances: Collaborate with allies like Japan, South Korea,
    and Taiwan to counteract China’s dominance in the semiconductor supply chain.
  3. Invest in Research and Development: Prioritize funding for innovation in chip
    technology to ensure the U.S. remains at the forefront of the industry.
    Conclusion
    The Biden administration’s Section 301 investigation into China’s semiconductor practices
    signals a decisive step in addressing trade imbalances and protecting U.S. industries. However,
    the economic implications, including potential supply chain disruptions and consumer price
    increases, must be carefully managed.
    For President-elect Trump, this investigation presents an opportunity to craft a nuanced trade
    policy that strengthens domestic competitiveness while avoiding excessive escalation.
    Balancing protective measures with strategies to foster innovation and collaboration will be
    crucial in ensuring long-term economic stability and industry growth.

Sousan Diraz, LL.M.

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